Why Catalonia’s Independence Drive Faded

Note to euroskeptics: the EU is a central reason for it

The Catalan independence movement once shook Spain to its core, with massive protests, a controversial referendum, and a unilateral declaration of independence that for a few seconds in 2017 turned Barcelona into the capital of a self-proclaimed republic. Yet the movement is losing momentum and descending into irrelevance, not so much because of a change of heart among Catalans but do to a bigger picture.

To begin with, the existing nations which together call the shots have an anti-separatist bias, because many of them are vulnerable: China, Russia, India, Canada and even European countries like Britain, France and Italy all face internal separatist challenges, and the last thing they want is to validate independence movements. The global order is therefore built on the inviolability of borders (though Vladimir Putin forgot about with Ukraine).

And thus, there was little global opposition to Spain’s decision to lower the boom on the Catalonia movement – jailing for a few years the local leaders who insisted on the 2017 referendum (in which independence handily won). And the national parliament invalidated the Catalonian one’s declaration of independence on the same day, Oct. 27, 2017.

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Perhaps the biggest reason this worked out for Spain is the European Union — a political entity that fundamentally alters the calculus of separatism. It’s true that many mock it and Britain left it and it has problems – but it’s critical nonetheless. By binding member nations into a supranational entity, the EU dilutes the urgency of statehood. If everyone is part of the same political and economic structure, the significance of national borders diminishes.

So Catalans live, work, and study freely across Europe, enjoying the benefits of EU citizenship, including economic integration, political representation, and protection of minority rights. In this context, the nation-state becomes an “in-between entity,” whose importance pales compared to the overarching structure. For a place like Catalonia, it basically means that whether or not it is separate from Spain, they are both part of something bigger, and that greater Europeanness can make independence seem quite small.

Is it so terribly unfair? The world, many would agree, already has enough countries. Each additional one, with its local politics and national ethos and petty egos, complicates hopes for a coordinated response to global problems like pandemics, migration, climate change, tech disruption and trade.

Still in all, as I visited Barcelona for a conference I could not help but wonder what this beguiling mix of old and new might have been like as a true national capital.

The proverbial mix of old and new (Dan Perry photo)

A vast sprawl along the coast at foothills, it does have some distinctiveness. For example, the “chamfered” blocks in large parts of town, slicing away the sharp edges of the grid like a sculptor refining a rough stone, create broad, open, octagonal intersections that bathe the streets in light and space.

Yup — the corners are “chamfered” (Dan Perry photo)

While not unique — Buenos Aires, Valencia, and Mendoza have flirted with similar designs — nowhere else are they as sweeping, systematic, and transformative. They aren’t just about easing traffic; they shape the urban experience, softening the city’s geometry and lending its avenues a rare expansiveness, as if the streets themselves are exhaling.

Rarely will you see quite such a grid (Dan Perry photo)

Then there’s the economy. Catalonia’s push for independence was fueled by a desire for greater autonomy, economic control, and cultural preservation. It is one of Spain’s wealthier regions, contributing, with under a sixth of the country’s population, a disproportionate 20% of Spain’s GDP and 25% of its industrial output (automotive, pharma and more).