Unlike many other political leaders, Donald Trump, a showbiz personality par excellence, has a special quality: he can be deciphered directly from the public statements he makes.
It’s not as simple as it sounds, considering that he often and quickly contradicts himself and that not infrequently what he says borders on infantilism.
It’s true, not everything Donald Trump said has come true – he didn’t stop the war in Ukraine in 24 hours; the tariffs imposed on the world can no longer go forward as he dreamed after they were declared illegal; and finally, he and people in his office proved to be more deeply involved in the Epstein affair than they had hinted.
However, even if there are cases, such as the three above, in which the outcome of Trump’s ideas was different from his expectations, what is essentially worth remembering is the fact that from the get-go Donald Trump acted as he said he would:
- He tried to make peace quickly in Ukraine, by crippling Ukraine (which is why he got stuck along the way).
- He still imposed the tariffs, despite warnings that they are both illegal and harmful to America itself. And that they have every chance of failing in court.
- He opened the Epstein files, although only the apparently less harmful part for himself (and in this half, there were some dubious edits).
These aspects illustrate two things about Donald Trump:
- That he must be taken seriously when he speaks publicly, no matter how unserious he seems.
- It must be borne in mind that Donald Trump lives in a universe parallel to reality, tends to create an imaginary world and based on that makes decisions and initiates actions in the real world. The consequences of the Trumpist intertwining of the imaginary with the real are as disastrous as can be, as seen in the cases above – Ukraine, tariffs, Epstein.
The even more delicate problem is that Donald Trump takes things very far, extending even to the war in Iran the fairy tale in his mind.
The fact that the US president was going to involve his country in a major conflict had been obvious for some time, as seen by his public statements.
The fact that he doesn’t know what he wants from this war also became quickly clear from his public statements where he contradicted himself.
The fact that he is infantile is as clear as day, demonstrated by saying Venezuela and Iran; the ayatollahs and the Revolutionary Guards were same as Delcy Rodríguez and the Caribbean, and equating the vicinity of Venezuela with the distance from Iran.
It is frightening to hear the President of the United States declare that in Iran he wants someone like Delcy; that in Iran any leadership will do, even a theocratic one, or one the Iranians don’t want, as long as he chooses it and will be a puppet, and the price of fuel will rise in the US (he’s even more indifferent to the energy crisis already in swing on other continents).
It’s frightening to hear Trump speak like this, one because he really believes them and two because he acts on them.
After only a week, Donald Trump presents the essential characteristics of one of the most ambitious black swans in history.
The conflict that his imagination unleashed in the real world has drawn dozens of countries into it before it was a week old, and blown up global markets.
- The US and Israel are bombing Iran.
- Israel has also invaded Lebanon, where the humanitarian crisis is in full swing and could escalate horribly.
- Iran is attacking Israel, but it is also attacking the Gulf countries, and has targeted Cyprus, in Europe.
- Russia is selecting targets for Iran.
- Ukraine, in the midst of war with Russia, could send drone warfare specialists and anti-drone combat equipment to the Middle East.
- France and Great Britain are sending an aircraft carrier, Spain its navy.
- NATO has intercepted Iranian projectiles and reconfigured its defensive posture.
- Asian countries are under the infernal pressure of fuel prices and shortages.
- Azerbaijan was hit.
- The eventual involvement of the Kurds as cannon fodder to replace the presence of US troops on the ground in Iran, to force regime change in Tehran, could increase the pressure on the cohesion of the Iranian state and could refuel Turkey’s traditional fears, possibly Iraq’s as well.
- Global terrorism will experience an inevitable resurgence.
- Dead civilians are piling up in Iran and Lebanon because, as always, surgical strikes are not 100% surgical. And in the rest of the world, the more fortunate will be taxed by Donald and Bibi’s war by an on their purchasing power, the specter of recession and political instability.
The formula “war in Iran” is quickly becoming more and more misleading as, in just a few days, the American-Israeli adventure in Iran has ceased to be reduced to just Iran.
The world we live in has become overnight the symbol of a jungle where strength is the law, and the law has little to do with it.
The attacks were primed by an American president who lives in his own world, but acts in our world; by an American president lacking discernment both in terms of the realities in his own country and those in the wider world.
Ruthless and cynical, history teaches us that Donald Trump is not unique or doing anything entirely new. Like so many others who have preceded him in human history, he is trying to shape the real world after the world of his imagination. Donald Trump is just one of the recurring accidents that initiate total combustion.
And in this whole puzzle of a world on the brink of the abyss, the apostle of peace, Donald Trump, has just made another big announcement : “Cuba will fall pretty soon, by the way, unrelated to his earlier ‘ Cuba will also fall.”
The president of peace is gorging on conflicts!
- PS: In parenthesis, given the context: Indeed, Romania was “inspired” to be represented by its president at the inauguration ceremony of the Board of Peace as part of the president’s foreign policy, which shows, and not for the first time, a maturity and a sense of history worthy of a stuffed pheasant.
