Defense Minister Vasile Dîncu moved to reassure Romanians on Wednesday worried about a potential conflict in Ukraine spilling over into Romania.
He ruled out a war on Romanian territory and said the probability of an attack from Russia was “close to zero.”
„All NATO analyses which we do together with our .. allies say that a war on Romanian territory has been ruled out,” he told the public broadcaster TVR, Agerpres reported.
“A military conflict between NATO and Russia won’t happen,” he added.
Article 5 is the cornerstone NATO and states that an attack on one NATO member is an attack on all of its members.
He said there were „many strategic reasons” for an attack being unlikely.
„I don’t think Russia, apart from resolving some issues from the Soviet era is imagining the utopia of Catherine II or Peter the Great’s Russia. I don’t think it will attack a NATO country because this would lead to a general conflict.”
“It would be madness to believe in this scenario,” he told TVR.
Asked on a scale of 1 to 10 whether Romania could be attacked, he said: “It’s close to 1,” he said.
He called on people to remain calm about a possible Russian offensive. “It’s not the case, regardless of what impression Vladimir Putin wants to give, to think of this scenario. ”
“Putin has placed 150,000 soldiers near Ukraine’s borders, the most he can allow… It’s not certain how long they can resist there.”
„Obviously, we take this possibility into account but it seems totally improbable at this time.”
A conflict in Ukraine could disrupt supplies and business, or there could be cyber attacks, although Romania does not have much bilateral trade and other activity.