- For the war with Iran, the US has three groups of ships on the ground and as many aircraft carriers.
- there are also several destroyers in the area, either attached to aircraft carrier groups or stand-alone.
- In total, the number of US soldiers (including sailors) in the conflict is in the tens of thousands.
- In addition, judging by President Trump’s public statements, no matter how unhinged they may appear to be, he could always order an isolated bombing or a series of opportune bombings, within the existing truce.
- Finally, it’s no less significant that America has not had to commit three aircraft carriers on a single front for 23 years – the last time this happened was in 2003 during the invasion of Iraq, under President Bush Jr.
This description of the situation on the ground illustrates something pretty obvious: the US is still engaged in war with Iran and even if there has been a pause, fighting can resume any moment. Trump himself said that and repeated it.
Hostilities can resume as:
- Peace negotiations, however fragile, have stalled.
- After two months, the Trump administration has not achieved any goals: there is no regime change (only a transition within the regime, from the slightly more moderate wing to the hard wing); no relevant destruction of the ballistic arsenal; no destruction of the nuclear program; no proper protection of U.S. allies in the Gulf.
- The Strait of Hormuz is under Iranian control, so transit is blocked. This is a brand new reality, which didn’t exist before February 28. So, Trump’s war not only did not fix what he set out to do, but it also worsened the pre-war state of affairs.
- In turn, the Americans instituted their own blockade, aimed at strangling Iranian oil exports. The blockade means nothing more than a state of struggle and armed interventions (the Americans so bombed several rebel ships, and even oardeed the ships).
This second fact highlights the same thing as the first: the US-Iran war is a reality, and this reality is still far from a radically different horizon – no matter Donald Trump says.
And yet, in Washington, the Trump administration decreed on Friday, April 30, that it considers the war with Iran “over.”
The diagnosis made by the White House didn’t come from nowhere: however far from the military reality it is but it is closely linked to the reality of the political front.
Because by Saturday, May 1, Donald Trump should have appeared before Congress to request Congress’ approval for his reckless and unpopular war.
In America, the law that Donald Trump nonchalantly violates, by simply inventing a non-existent state of peace, has existed for 53 years. It limits the president’s powers to engage his country in a war on his own and says Congress has to approve the continuation of the conflict after 60 days or, in some cases, 90.
At this moment, the head of state is going against the will of ordinary Americans and defying the powers of Congress. The distance between Trump’s America and Putin’s Russia has become blurred. With the specification that, in Russia’s cardboard democracy the Kremlin dictator was able to obtain all the approvals for going to war.
From this point of view, America still remains an authentic democracy, albeit one that is increasingly weakened. What is key is that Trump did not even dare to appear before Congress.
Because in the Congress in Washington, unlike the Moscow Duma, the vote is still a real one, and the elected officials are still accountable to the nation.
In the current Congress, Donald Trump has a majority.
So, theoretically, it should have been relatively simple for him to get a favorable vote (the Republican Party is in his pocket).
But from a practical point of view, things are dramatically nuanced due to the special nature of 2026: it is an election year and there are only six months left until midterm elections.
Under these conditions, a favorable vote given by the Republicans becomes a trap for them and for the president. Why? Because the war in Iran is deeply unpopular among ordinary Americans, its effects are devastating on purchasing power, and President Trump’s rating in the polls is unprecedentedly low.
Not to mention, Donald Trump would have quietly sacrificed his party colleagues sitting on the benches of Congress, if that didn’t mean that once they go downhill, they will naturally drag him after them.
Therefore, Donald Trump saved the situation as he knows best: by lying to the people; lying to that the war was over; thereby lying that there is no longer any reason to present himself to Congress.
Donald Trump decided, that:
- The 2020 election was stolen: it wasn’t.
- The Russians weren’t involved in his 2016 victory; they were.
- He will stop the war in Ukraine in 24 hours – and he hasn’t even after almost 12,000 hours.
- He won’t start foreign conflicts too: he did.
- An endless war will not start: the one with Iran is shaping up to be just that.
- The US “obliterated” Iran’s nuclear program in June 2025 : it didn’t.
- Customs tariffs are legal: they weren’t.
- He had nothing to do with pedophile Epstein: he did.
- The Board for Peace is something historic – but that isn’t what it’s about. It is the result of a power-hungry mind and self-love, a nut without a core (and unfortunately, President Nicușor Dan’s Romania has made its own contribution to the attempt to internationally legitimize that bad joke).
The outbreak of the war in Iran depended on a clown in Washington. Its conclusion, however, depends on some criminals in Tehran.
A global clown – militarily entangled and politically stuck.
‘If Romania hadn’t been in EU and NATO, we’d have been a floating atom’- Romanian diplomat
